Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.027991 0.030054 0.032129 0.034368 0.036714 0.039097 0.041697
2026-01-25 0.024064 0.027288 0.030649 0.034403 0.038467 0.042723 0.047506
2026-02-01 0.021462 0.025386 0.029592 0.034409 0.039750 0.045465 0.052018
2026-02-08 0.019511 0.023925 0.028768 0.034433 0.040835 0.047805 0.055926
2026-02-15 0.017870 0.022643 0.027989 0.034360 0.041681 0.049770 0.059321
2026-02-22 0.016501 0.021553 0.027322 0.034313 0.042467 0.051595 0.062499
2026-03-01 0.015145 0.020379 0.026469 0.033967 0.042836 0.052885 0.065021
2026-03-08 0.013820 0.019155 0.025478 0.033385 0.042866 0.053732 0.066988
2026-03-15 0.012514 0.017875 0.024350 0.032571 0.042559 0.054136 0.068399
2026-03-22 0.012023 0.017585 0.024400 0.033159 0.043908 0.056472 0.072064
2026-03-29 0.011364 0.017040 0.024102 0.033289 0.044681 0.058110 0.074900
2026-04-05 0.010637 0.016366 0.023606 0.033142 0.045090 0.059295 0.077185
2026-04-12 0.010192 0.016070 0.023608 0.033653 0.046360 0.061587 0.080890
2026-04-19 0.009569 0.015509 0.023250 0.033700 0.047056 0.063197 0.083806
2026-04-26 0.008980 0.014960 0.022881 0.033707 0.047685 0.064715 0.086608
2026-05-03 0.008445 0.014455 0.022543 0.033730 0.048317 0.066226 0.089398
2026-05-10 0.007916 0.013927 0.022148 0.033658 0.048809 0.067552 0.091956
2026-05-17 0.007435 0.013443 0.021789 0.033612 0.049319 0.068891 0.094525
2026-05-24 0.006890 0.012832 0.021228 0.033271 0.049425 0.069708 0.096439
2026-05-31 0.006310 0.012136 0.020517 0.032698 0.049204 0.070092 0.097798
2026-06-07 0.005705 0.011363 0.019662 0.031895 0.048651 0.070030 0.098577
2026-06-14 0.005543 0.011283 0.019806 0.032475 0.049941 0.072337 0.102362
2026-06-21 0.005264 0.010998 0.019634 0.032603 0.050618 0.073851 0.105143